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For Additional Course
Materials, login to the Blackboard Learning System čhttp://my.oregonstate.edu/
Spring 2006
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Instructor: |
Jim Moran |
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Office: |
Bexell 334 |
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Office Phone: |
737-8871 |
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E-mail: |
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Office Hours: |
Instructor: Monday 11-12am
Tuesday 12-1pm Wednesday 1-2pm |
Management decision processes
utilizing statistical methods, use and application of probability concepts,
sampling procedures, statistical estimation, and regression to the analysis and
solution of such business problems as income and cost estimation, sales
forecasting, performance evaluation, inventory analysis, and quality control.
This course teaches
quantitative methods used in data analysis and business decision making. Topics
covered include: descriptive statistics, correlation and regression, hypothesis
testing, statistical process control, and forecasting. Business applications of
these techniques are emphasized. Students in this course will acquire expertise
in computer-based methods for data analysis and decision making, through
computer analysis of business datasets.
Prerequisite: Math 245
(probability, probability distributions, etc.) and sophomore standing.
č Upon completion of this course, students will
understand and be able to use STATGRAPHICS
PLUS to analyze business, economic and financial data with various
statistical tools. (The software is
available on all PC’s in the COB Computer Lab, Bexell basement; or on the free
OSUware CD which is available in
Learning Outcomes:
· Moore, McCabe, Duckworth, & Sclove, The Practice of Business Statistics, Freeman (required).
· Student Solutions Manual (optional). Several copies also available in the Circulation Dept, Valley Library, on a 2-hour checkout basis.
· Excel-formatted Data Files for assigned problems are on the Student CD.
All of the materials (syllabus, course packet, data files, announcements, etc.) are available on the campus Blackboard System. č https://my.oregonstate.edu
****** BRING THE TEXT, COPY OF THE SLIDES & PROBLEM PACKET, *****
****** AND A CALCULATOR TO EVERY CLASS *****
The examination process consists of: two midterms, a take-home data analysis report (10pts + 5 pts bonus), and a final. No alternate examination times are scheduled. Bring a calculator and a pencil to all exams/quizzes. All exams will be closed book and are scheduled during the 2nd class meeting. Exams will cover material in the textbook, lectures, assigned & “other” problems.
Approximate
distribution of points for final grade & grade breakdown:
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Mid-Terms (2@100) (200) Data Anal Rpt (15) (10) Miscellaneous (10) Final (130) 350
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A B C D F |
90% 80 70 60 <60 |
· No communication devices of any type are allowed in the classroom during exams/quizzes.
· No make-up exams or quizzes will be given. Students will receive zero points unless: there are extreme circumstances; the instructor is notified in advance; and an acceptable written excuse or official verification is presented prior to rescheduling. This includes the final exam. There is no alternate scheduled time for the final exam.
· Regular class attendance is strongly encouraged. If you miss class, it is your responsibility to pick up missed handouts, etc. I strongly suggest you team-up with another student to cover for you in the event you do miss a class.
Important Matters
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You are expected to adhere to the
· Students are expected to be honest and ethical in their academic work. Academic dishonesty is defined as an intentional act of deception in one of the following areas:
o cheating- use or attempted use of unauthorized materials, information or study aids
o fabrication- falsification or invention of any information
o assisting- helping another commit an act of academic dishonesty
o tampering- altering or interfering with evaluation instruments and documents
o plagiarism- representing the words or ideas of another person as one's own
·
The goal of
· Students with documented disabilities who may need accommodations, who have any emergency medical information the instructor should know of, or who need special arrangements in the event of evacuation, should make an appointment with the instructor as early as possible, no later than the first week of the term. In order to arrange alternative testing, the student should make the request at least one week in advance of the test. Students seeking accommodations must register with the Office of Services for Students with Disabilities.
· All work which is submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements of this course must be solely completed by the student submitting the work. Violations of this requirement will be formally addressed and students will receive no credit for the assignment. This does not preclude the opportunity for students to “work together” before submitting the assignment.
CLASS SCHEDULE
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Week #1 (week of April 3rd
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Topics: |
Housekeeping Examining Distributions READ: pp 2-23 |
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Assignment: |
1.2, 1.5, 1.11 SG čUse Excel data file & StatGraphic |
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Week #2 (April 10th ) |
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Topics: |
Quantitative Measures READ: pp 30-45;
57-59 |
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Assignment: |
1.30, 1.35, 1.41,
1.63, 1.64, 1.91; 1.89(SG) SG čUse
Excel data file & StatGraphic |
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Week #3 (April 17th ) |
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Topics: |
Discrete Distributions, Binomial Distribution, Intro to Z-table READ: pp 261-262; 269-270; 319-327 |
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Assignment: |
4.17, 4.27, 4.43,
4.49, 5.25, Ex 5.11/p 326; 5.31 a,b; 1.66, 1.75 |
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Week #4 (April 24th) č MIDTERM #1 this week |
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Topics: |
Normal Distribution, Sampling Distribution READ: pp
59-70; 288-294 ** 1st midterm exam—2nd class meeting: Thurs, April 27th
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Assignment: |
1.67, 1.77, 4.86,
4.93, 4.95 |
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Week #5 (May 1st) |
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Topics: |
Statistical Inference: Confidence Intervals, Calc “n”, & “t” Distributionč Chap 6 (w/ σ) Chap 7 (w/o σ) READ: pp. 362-376; 432-436 |
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Assignment: |
6.11, 6.15, 6.16
(SG), 6.19, 7.3, 7.4 SG čUse
Excel data file & StatGraphic |
Week #6 (May 8th) |
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Topics: |
Statistical Inference: Hypothesis Testing READ: pp 380-399;
437-439 |
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Assignment: |
6.35, 6.36, 6.37,
6.43, 6.44, 6.45, 6.54, 6.55, 7.5, 7.38 |
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Week #7 (May 15th) č
MIDTERM
#2 the week |
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Topics: |
Statistical Inference about a Population Proportion Statistical Inference about Two Populations READ: pp. 504-505; 509; 474-478 ***2nd midterm exam—2nd class meeting: Thurs, May 18th |
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Assignment: |
8.4, 8.25 a,b,c;
7.59, 7.105 (review p. 432 for std error & conduct a
pooled-variance test) |
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Week #8 (May 22nd ) |
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Topics: |
Simple Linear Regression READ: pp. 86-92; 111-124; 133-139; 584-600;
615-621 |
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Assignment: |
2.1, 2.3, 2.4, 2.7,
2.35 (a) (Verify the eqtn by manually calculating the slope & intercept),
2.61 (Use SG
& omit residual calculation), 10.1, 10.36, 10.43 |
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Week #9 (May 29th) č
DATA ANAL RPT assigned |
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Topics: |
Simple Linear Regression (cont….) Multiple Regression READ: pp. 634-646;
650-661 |
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Assignment: |
11.1, 11.15, 11.90 Do a Mult Reg Analysis on the data in Table 11.2 (Does it look like a good fit?) |
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Week #10
(June 5th ) č Data Analysis Report Due: 2nd class meeting: Thurs, June 8th |
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Topics: |
Multiple Regression Chi-Squared Test of a
Contingency Table READ: pp. 668-673; 548-557 |
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Assignment: |
9.17 b,c |
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Finals
Week (June 12-16 ) |
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Final exam @ June 13th
, Tuesday, 4:00 pm
(Comprehensive, Room: TBA). No alternate exam times. |
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Note:
If you have not had your COB picture taken or if it is “out-dated”, be sure
to have it taken by the COB electronic photo staff by the 2nd class of the term. They are
located in the COB Computer Lab, basement of Bexell Hall.
IMPORTANT NOTE: This syllabus is a guide, not a contract, and
therefore may be changed as necessary.
If changes are made, I will announce and discuss them in class.